• 0 Posts
  • 10 Comments
Joined 4 months ago
cake
Cake day: November 24th, 2025

help-circle





  • The peaceful solution is the decline of the West. Politics is rational. The CPC has no need to invade provided that foreign militaries do not build up threats on the province. As the West declines, trade with them becomes less attractive to Taiwan and trade with the mainland becomes more attractive. As the mainland develops, Taiwan will have the same calculus to do as Europe is doing now - align with the US or align with China.

    It’s really just a matter of time before Taiwan fully embraces 1 country 2 systems. Materially, the only component they don’t currently embrace is the national defense component. They don’t purport to be a country independent of China, and the legal reality is that they are literally part of China. So they essentially are 1 country 2 systems with th exception of national defense being provided for by the US instead the CPC.

    Peaceful reunification will happen when the US withdraws. Violence will happen if the US escalates. That’s the entirety of the spread of possibilities. The choice of peace lies entirely in the hands of the US.


  • Now you’re getting it. Security guarantees from the US are NOT relevant. They are rhetorical cover for military build up inline with the US policy of encirclement. Absent from all of these discussions is that the US has military forces stationed 4 miles off the mainland because Taiwan is not one island it’s a province comprising an island chain. The CPC’s consistent policy is peaceful reunification via waiting except in the case where a foreign military uses the province to threaten the mainland.