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Cake day: February 23rd, 2025

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  • I would like to nominate Diego de Landa, burner of the Mayan books. And a lot of Mayan people. The Mayans had books, like normal paper booms filled with Mayan writing. Histories, religion, presumably everything a society would write down. There are only four Mayan books left now. It’s all gone. It’s a tragedy that particularly boils my blood and I’m making him the final boss of a Mesoamerican-themed Pathfinder campaign I’m about to run, because I want to live out a fantasy where he gets fireballed to death or something.





  • If the goal is to destabilize the regime until it collapses and then we fund a friendly government into power, it might be doable if we can block their oil exports. But we just lifted sanctions on their oil, so they’ll never run out of money. China may be making shaheds now, so even if we bomb all of Iran’s military manufacturing infrastructure, they can probably keep buying weapons forever.

    Iran is very mountainous. This restricts the use of our biggest and best machines of war and gives them places to hide things. Iran is also big geographically and demographically, much larger than Iraq or Afghanistan. It’s also important to note that while the regime is not loved by many, they ALL really hate us. The regime is evil, but everyone west of Greece or so is a fucking demon to them. They have decent historical reasons to feel this way.

    Occupying them and achieving complete surrender is probably not going to happen, and if we try for it, it’ll cost massive shitloads of money we don’t have and probably also a lot of lives. The best thing that can happen is we bail and try to say we won. The worst is the president nukes them and Russia nukes us back on their behalf. What I think is most likely is a collapse in the dollar and a withdrawal afterwards.












  • I still don’t know how to articulate the feeling I get seeing my country in decline but also seeing the world rearrange itself in a way that is probably healthier long-term as it happens. The Germans don’t have some long frankenword for simultaneous relief and deep unease at the same time, do they?